大数据时代的教育决策研究：数据的力量与模拟的优势

Educational Decision-MakingStudies in the Big Data Age: the Power of Data and the Advantages of Stimulation

在大数据渗透到当今每一个行业和业务领域的时代，挖掘数据的潜能越发被各个领域所重视，也使得基于数据的教育决策这一教育技术领域的研究传统获得了新的发展机会，并逐渐在热点频出的教育信息化热潮中展现出其发展潜能和优势。随着教育决策所涉及问题复杂性的凸显，以及教育决策科学化的需求的提升，对基于计算机的决策的依赖越发体现出来。如何利用计算能力发挥教育领域的数据的力量，借助计算机模拟的方式为科学的教育决策提供依据，是大数据时代一个迫切需要解决的问题，也是教育技术领域的一个传统研究方向的新的发展机会。该文对计算机支持决策的研究背景进行了回顾，对大数据时代的教育决策需求进行了分析，并以本研究团队开展的教育模拟决策支持系统为案例，介绍了大数据时代发挥数据的力量与模拟优势的探索。

More and more attentions has been put into the potential to dig data in all fields in an age that big data has been merged into all industries. It provides new development opportunities for data-based educational decision-making in the educational technology fields， which has gradually showed great potential and advantages in the wave of educational technology developments. The dependence on the computer on decision making has increased because of the complicacies in the educational decision making related problem and the increasing need of scientific educational decision making. How to use computer to maximize the potential of data in the educational fields and how to use computer stimulation to provide evidence for scientific educational decision making are a urging question in the age of big data and a new development opportunity in the traditional research fields of educational technology. This paper reviewed the research background on computer –based decision making， analyzed the need for educational decision making in the big data age， and introduced the exploration on the power of data and the advantages of stimulation by presenting an educational decision-making supporting system developed by our research team.