网络信息资源动态发展利用的周期性研究

Research on the Periodicity of Dynamic Development and Utilization of Network Information Resources

与非网络信息资源相比，网络信息资源因用户的参与而表现出动态的发展利用过程，这种动态发展利用过程主要表现在用户对网络信息资源的浏览、下载、转载、上传和评论等方面。在假设网络信息资源动态发展利用具有周期性的基础上，本研究采用跟踪观察法，通过统计SNS 网站、论坛和微博三种平台上网络信息资源的浏览、转载和跟帖增量，分析增量发展趋势，并从中发现网络信息资源动态发展利用具有先快后慢的规律；使用SPSS统计软件生成网络信息资源动态发展利用的趋势图并将其动态发展利用的周期划分为生长期、成熟期和衰退期三个阶段。

Comparing to non-network information resources, network information resources have dynamic process of development and utilization. This dynamic process mainly displays in users' browsing, downloading, uploading, commenting, and so on. Based on the hypothesis that dynamic development and utilization of network information has periodicity, this study used the observation method to collect data of user activities, and analyzed the development tendency of growth. A law of the dynamic development and utilization of network information resources was discovred: at first the growth was fast and at last the growth became slow. By using citation analysis method, the tendency graph of dynamic development and utilization of network information resources were constructed with SPSS software. By analyzing the data of following comments, the study discussed the periodicity of the growth of network information resources. Secondly, by analyzing the data of browsing, this study discussed the law of dynamic utilization. In addition, by analyzing the data of browsing and commenting, this study discussed the periodicity of dynamic development and utilization of information resources on the platform of SNS websites, microblog and BBS. Finally, the general law and characteristics of the periodicity of network information resources were summarized, and the periodicity of network information resources was dividied into three stages: growth, maturity and decline.