高校科研投入与产出的相关性分析：1991—2008

Quantitative Study on the Correlation between R&D Input and Output of University in China: 1991- 2008

科研投入效益的最終衡量指標是科研產出，隨著我國對高校科研投入的逐年增長，高校科研產出與投入相關性的研究備受關注，但對其進行定量分析的研究成果甚少.本文根據1991年- 2008年高校科研投入和產出的數據，對我國高校科研投入與產出的狀況進行了分析和探討；運用Matlab統計軟件對大量的原始數據進行運算處理，建立了高校科研投入及其產出多種指標相關性的關聯模型，揭示并探討其規律；最后根據分析結果提出相關政策建議.

The ultimate index of R& D input is the research output. As the universities have continually increased their input into R& D， the output of university R& D has attracted a great deal of attention. However， there are lacks of the quantitative analysis of the input and output data. The more important information， which has been hidden from those data， is the correlation between research input and output as well as the forecast of their developmental trends. Based on the data of university R& D input and output from 1991 to 2008， this article illustrates the current status of the Chinese universities R& D input and output. The article simulates the original data type use Mat lab and set up the recursive model for various index of R& D input and output of Chinese universities. The last， base on the result of analysis， the article put forward to suggestions for R& D input and output of universities in China.