職業教育與經濟增長關系的實證檢驗——基于中國1998年-2007年數據的驗證

Empirical Test on the Relationship between Vocational Education and Economic Growth – Based on 1998-2007 Chinese data certification

職業教育與經濟增長之間是否存在著長期穩定的因果關系，是我國制定職業教育發展政策的重要依據之一。本文在對相關文獻進行梳理分析的基礎上，以1998年至2007年的數據為依據，運用協整分析、格蘭杰因果檢驗理論和誤差修正模型的分析框架，研究了我國職業教育發展對經濟增長的短期影響與長期關系。研究結果表明，兩者之間在長期上不僅存在穩定的均衡關系，并且正相關，職業教育發展是經濟增長的原因。

Whether there is a long-term stability causal relation between vocational educational and economic growth is a basic issue on making development policy of vocational education. Based on the relevant literature and our country 1998-2007 data， the study conducts the cointegrating analysis， the Granger causes and effects examination theory， the error correction mechanism. The paper shows the short-term relations and the long-term stable balanced relation between vocational education and economic growth ; in the long run， vocational education and economic growth will be connected， vocational education is the cause of economic growth.