我国区域硕士学位授权体系发展模型研究——基于追踪数据的实证分析

A Longitudinal Study on the Distribution of Master Degree Authorization System in China

硕士学位点的发展情况直接决定了我国硕士研究生教育的规模和结构，是我国以硕士学位授权体系为核心的硕士研究生教育发展规模的最直接反映。本文以我国31个省级行政单位硕士学位点随时间变化的发展情况为研究对象，采用多层线性模型(HLM)分析技术，构建了区域硕士学位授权体系发展模型，并基于追踪数据进行了实证分析。所得结论如下:第一，我国各省硕士学位点的发展情况表现出显著的差异性。第二，我国各省硕士学位点的发展随时间变化呈现非线性增长趋势(曲线)，且该趋势的具体特征表现为减速增长。第三，经济发展水平对各省硕士学位授权体系发展的差异程度存在显著的影响，且对其硕士学位点的增长率也存在显著影响。最后，还存在其它因素对我国以硕士学位点为基础的区域硕士学位授权体系发展差异产生影响。

The study analyzes the differences in the development of master degree authorization system between 31 provincial-level administrative units in China between 2005 and 2011 based on the longitudinal data analysis method.It is found that there are significant differences in the development of master degree authorization system between 31 provincial-level administrative units in China and that the growth path for each provincial unit is curve.The level of economic development proves to be the most important factor contributing to these differences while there are still some other important factors to be considered.