高等教育债务问题实证研究

An Empirical Study of Liabilities in Higher Education

本文基于大量统计数据建立计量模型，对我国高等教育债务问题进行实证分析。研究结果表明，扩招后全国高等教育资金投入缺口总量为2780.88亿元，估计实际债务总量为6730亿元，总体风险系数高达0.93。必须严格控制高校负债并采取果断措施降低债务风险。

This study develops an econometric model to analyze liabilities in Chinese higher education， using massive statistical data. The findings show that since the enrolment expansion， the funding gap in Chinese higher education amounted to RMB 278.088 billion Yuan， the effective debt is 673 billion Yuan， and the overall risk coefficient is as high as 0.93. Therefore， the study recommends that China must strictly control its university loan， and take bold measures to reduce the university’s liability risk.