大学生跨省流动的特点及影响因素分析

An Empirical Study on Migration of College Graduates in China

本文基于2009年的全国高校毕业生就业状况调查数据，利用统计描述和计量回归方法对大学生跨省流动的频率、流向、成本、收益、流动影响因素等进行了实证研究。主要结论如下：第一，54.3%的毕业生为不动者，这些大学生在生源地就学和就业，没有任何流动；第二，东部沿海省份的大学生不动者比例更大，对于跨省流动的大学生，流动的主要方向是从中西部内陆省份到东部沿海省份；第三，经济因素是跨省流动的主要原因之一；第四，人口特征变量、人力资本变量、包括社会资本在内的家庭社会经济背景都是就业流动的显着影响因素；第五，跨省就业的毕业生获得了更高的收入。

Based on a national-scale survey conducted in 2009 and methods of statistical descriptive and econometric analysis, the paper has given an empirical analysis on the migration of college graduates in China. It is found that 54.2% of college graduates choose to stay in the place where they have pursued college study. Graduates from coastal provinces are less likely to migrate than those from the western and central regions. The level of economic development is the key factor to inter-provincial migration. Individual personal characteristics, individual human capital variables and social-economic background are main factors influencing migration.